Top 10 Predictions now show the expected range of results

Making exact predictions is difficult, especially when you only have a small fraction of the data. The data will generally give you a good indication, but will never allow you to predict, with certainty, that a particular outcome will occur. We discussed this in detail in our previous post.

To mitigate against these uncertainties in the data, we have added a new piece of information to the top 10 songs shown in the prediction.

Below the vote count, a new line of information can be found, displaying the range of (inclusive) positions that we expect a particular song to place during the countdown. The range is based on prediction data and trends we have found from previous years.

Rank variance feature on the countdown prediction list

You can see this new information by viewing the top 10 countdown predictions.